Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000152 0.000169 0.000186 0.000206 0.000228 0.000253 0.000282
2025-06-01 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000202 0.000242 0.000290 0.000353
2025-06-08 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000195 0.000248 0.000316 0.000411
2025-06-15 0.000087 0.000114 0.000148 0.000197 0.000264 0.000354 0.000488
2025-06-22 0.000080 0.000108 0.000145 0.000201 0.000281 0.000395 0.000573
2025-06-29 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000196 0.000285 0.000418 0.000634
2025-07-06 0.000063 0.000089 0.000128 0.000188 0.000282 0.000428 0.000676
2025-07-13 0.000058 0.000085 0.000125 0.000189 0.000293 0.000459 0.000757
2025-07-20 0.000055 0.000082 0.000123 0.000191 0.000306 0.000497 0.000852
2025-07-27 0.000051 0.000077 0.000119 0.000190 0.000312 0.000523 0.000931
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000075 0.000118 0.000193 0.000326 0.000563 0.001041
2025-08-10 0.000045 0.000071 0.000114 0.000190 0.000330 0.000586 0.001121
2025-08-17 0.000042 0.000067 0.000110 0.000188 0.000335 0.000614 0.001217
2025-08-24 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000186 0.000339 0.000640 0.001319
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000059 0.000100 0.000179 0.000336 0.000651 0.001388
2025-09-07 0.000034 0.000057 0.000099 0.000181 0.000349 0.000698 0.001548
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000185 0.000366 0.000755 0.001739
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000181 0.000366 0.000775 0.001847
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000173 0.000357 0.000774 0.001899
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000174 0.000367 0.000817 0.002077
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000047 0.000087 0.000176 0.000381 0.000872 0.002300
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000175 0.000386 0.000907 0.002471
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000044 0.000085 0.000178 0.000401 0.000968 0.002734